Predicted Winner
Felipe Lima
50%
win probability
Fight Projection
Expected Rounds3.0
KO/TKO (Home)20%
KO/TKO (Away)25%
SUB (Home)25%
SUB (Away)10%
Decision (Home)35%
Decision (Away)40%
Draw5%
Over Rounds Line60%
Under Rounds Line40%
Fighter Stats
LimaCharrière
Striking
4.1Sig. Strikes / Min4.6
48%Strike Accuracy51%
3.5Absorbed / Min3.3
7.3%Aggression Index7.6%
Grappling
2.2Takedowns / 15min0.8
45%TD Accuracy30%
65%TD Defense62%
54%Control Time %46%
1.1Sub Attempts / 15min0.4
0.5%Clutch Round Win %0.5%
Fight Preview
Featherweight action takes center stage as Felipe Lima squares off against fan favorite Morgan Charriere, offering South African viewers a technical masterclass.
Matchup Overview
Lima brings slick grappling transitions and dynamic kicking combinations, while Charriere relies on heavy boxing pressure, body work, and resolute durability.
Style Analysis
Charriere pushes forward with calculated boxing volume, whereas Lima uses varied angles and fluid level changes to keep opponents guessing.
Tale of the Tape
Physical dimensions are closely matched, placing maximum emphasis on technical execution.
Striking Battle
Charriere's punch volume matches up against Lima's versatile kicking game and speed.
Grappling & Wrestling
Lima holds the edge in offensive wrestling and control time, while Charriere demonstrates solid takedown defense and scrambling ability.
Recent Form
Both fighters exhibit strong developmental curves within the division, making this a pivotal test of progression.
Key Insights
Controlling the center of the cage will prevent Charriere from establishing his preferred inside boxing range.
Tactical Themes
Pace maintenance and defensive posture against low kicks will dictate the flow.
Stamina & Momentum
High-tempo output from both competitors ensures competitive late frames.
Finish Risk
Lima presents higher submission threats, while Charriere aims for accumulation-based stoppages.
Data Stats
Lima holds advantages in takedowns landed per 15 minutes, whereas Charriere leads in significant strike volume.
Our Pick
Expect a tightly contested decision where grappling control time could swing close rounds.
Final Verdict
A high-stakes featherweight pairing loaded with tactical intrigue.
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